New Marquette Law School poll shows Cruz, Sanders leading with Wisconsin voters

WTMJ's John Mercure was joined by Marquette University Law School professor Charles Franklin, the man who conducts the school's political polls, on on "Wisconsin's Afternoon News." Listen above in your Soundcloud player.

Six days before a very important Wisconsin primary election, the Marquette University Law School poll gives the latest on where major candidates stand.

The highly-contested Wisconsin presidential primary is the hottest topic, with a potentially close GOP primary between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, with John Kasich also running. 

The poll released Tuesday suggests Cruz has the lead in Wisconsin at 40%, followed by Trump 30%, Kasich 21%.

"Trump was at 30 (percent) a month ago, but Cruz was just at 19 and Kasich at 8. Kasich and Cruz have picked up a lot. Trump seems sort of stuck in the water at the moment," Poll Director Charles Franklin told 620 WTMJ's "Wisconsin's Afternoon News."

"Political leadership has not embraced Trump and has searched for an alternative candidate. We've seen, in the last week or so, the embrace of Ted Cruz."

On the Democratic side, it could also be close between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. Based on Tuesday's findings, Sanders has a slight lead on Clinton 49% to 45%.

"Sanders has been closing this race for a while. He was behind by nine points in November and two in January, but ahead by one in February."

According to Franklin, among likely voters in this poll, 54% said they will vote in the Republican presidential primary, 46% in the Democratic primary.

Franklin also noted that the new poll results are based on 1,405 interviews with registered voters from March 24 to March 28.

In the race for Wisconsin Supreme Court, Justice Rebecca Bradley leads the poll with 41% compared to Judge Joanne Kloppenburg's 36%.

As for U.S. Senate, Russ Feingold (47%) leads Ron Johnson (44%).

"After going almost a year with roughly a 10 or 11 point Feingold lead, that's just dropped among five points among registered voters and as little as three points among likely voters," said Franklin.
"This race likely will be the close, competitive race that many had expected it to be."

As Franklin warns us, though, don't just automatically believe that whoever is leading now will win on Tuesday.

"In a fast moving primary, everybody should take a little bit of a step back and, indeed, breath. We're in a bit of a dynamic period right now. Things could change, and could change rapidly."

Follow the updates below.

Our digital coverage of Decision 2016 is presented by Rosen Nissan/Kia.

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